Wednesday, December 10, 2008

The Kirk Report

The Kirk Report

Don't Mess With Santa

Posted: 10 Dec 2008 02:16 PM CST

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Bailouts, Bad Bets, & Bottoms

Posted: 10 Dec 2008 08:30 AM CST

Good morning. Premarket futures are in positive territory following news of progress toward a $15 billion dollar auto plan.

There are some other interesting talking points this morning as well. Namely, news that Meredith Whitney is still as bearish as ever but her fears now are focused on the U.S. consumer. The Fed is also thinking about issuing its own debt for the first time ever so that it can "stabilize financial markets" as the panel overseeing the TARP is expected to be critical on the mismanagement of the bailout. AIG faces another $10 billion dollar loss on some bad bets and mortgage applications fell by 7.1% last week after soaring last week.

Premarket gainers: GNW, RTP, DRYS, EXM, EGLE, PWE, OCNF, NM, SBLK, TBSI, ALXA, ARST, BBL, BUCY, JASO, GOLD, DYN, F, GM, YHOO, CETV, BAS, SRZ, ES, SWIR, FSLR, CPE, & BHP.

Premarket losers: ERTS, NT, CAVM, EK, AIG, AXP, FMCN, ARNA, ALD, PCR, AXL, JBLU, SFI, & GCI.

Today's economic calendar has three reports - Wholesale Inventories (10:AM), EIA Petroleum Status (10:35AM), and Treasury Budget (2:PM) but none of them are expected to be market movers.

Even with yesterday's pullback, we are still overbought and likely to see some sloppy consolidation between S&P 820 to S&P 920. As you know, in recent days none of the negatives seem to sway sentiment very much (yesterday's decline was more about overbought conditions than anything else in my view) and that's likely to continue as the market seems convinced that we've seen the bottom (at least for 2008). After all, to expect this year to close at or near its yearly lows seems grinch-like and few are willing to go there even in this bearish environment.

Go make it a great day!

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